December 24, 2024

The NFL revealed the details of the compensatory pick for the 2024 NFL Draft on Friday. The Buffalo Bills will earn a pick at the conclusion of Round 4 (choose 34 in Round 4, and pick 133 overall) according to the statement. According to the NFL Management Council’s decision, the Bills have been awarded just one compensatory pick for the 2018 draft.

Tremaine Edmunds, a free agent linebacker, was lost to the Patriots in the spring free agency, leaving Buffalo with choice 133. At the time, most people thought Buffalo would receive a third-round compensation pick in the 2024 draft if Edmunds, a previous first-round draft selection of One Bills Drive, lost his free agency.

Buffalo Bills receive compensatory pick for Tremaine Edmunds, but not the  one they expected - syracuse.com

 

The NFL has never made public the precise procedure used to determine compensatory pick allocations, therefore there is a lack of complete transparency in this area. It has therefore generated a great deal of conversation this offseason. The fundamentals are provided (with considerable additional work done by sites like Over The Cap to fill in apparent gaps and clarify the formula).

One of the process’s key elements is a formula that takes into account each NFL player’s salary, playing time, and postseason awards. Moreover, companies that lose minority workers who go on to lead the football department or serve as the head coach of another NFL team are given comp picks.

During her Friday afternoon appearance on “The Sports Bar” with 950AM in Rochester, NY, ESPN Buffalo Bills beat reporter Alaina Getzenberg mentioned that each team’s comp pick(s) slotting is influenced by the wins and losses of other teams. She also mentioned that factors like playing time are taken into account when determining comp picks for those players who lost.

2024 NFL Draft: Compensatory pick projections for the Eagles

Regarding the Bills, who lost three games that qualified for the NFL free agency period in 2023:

Devin Singletary, the running back, was lost, but was made up for by wide receiver Deonte Harty.
Offense guard Connor McGovern was added to counterbalance the loss of quarterback Case Keenum.
No. 133 compensatory pick was given in lieu of Tremaine Edmunds.
Although Edmunds inked a massive seventy-two million dollar deal extension with the Chicago Bears, it was little enough to cost the Bills a third-round compensatory pick. Queriesinquired about Edmunds’ injury-related absence from the Bears’ 2024campaign.

Currently, there is enough uncertainty around this situation—created by the NFL—to doubt the accuracy of any story. Take this tweet (as well as the longer thread) from Over The Cap contributor Nick Korte, who bills himself as the “Compensatory Picks GuyTM.” To be clear, while the material is intriguing, we cannot guarantee that the figures and outcomes are more precise than those provided by the NFL Management Council.

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